The University of California, Berkeley’s Center for Long Term Cybersecurity (CLTC) has a rich history of using scenario planning to help understand potential future developments in cybersecurity, recognizing that this is intertwined with many other factors, including shifts in geopolitics, economics, consumer behavior and public opinion, to name only a few. They’ve just issued a new series of scenarios that look at the effects of the pandemic and its aftermath on cybersecurity. This is a thought provoking read, and not highly technical.
Note that this piece contains pointers to their previous scenario work as well.
If you are not familiar with the Center’s work you can visit cltc.berkeley.edu